Making their long-awaited return to Mexico, UFC Mexico City is set to be a thrilling Fight Night event. Featuring several Mexican fighters looking to put on a show for their hometown fans, there’s sure to be plenty of fiery matchups inside the Octagon this Saturday night.
Brandon Moreno Moneyline
-250
The only way the action of UFC Mexico City could get any better is by getting some skin in on the game with our expert picks and full betting preview. Below we’ve highlighted where you can secure the best odds on each of the main card bouts, as well as our predictions for the fight outcome for each of the upcoming bouts.
Boost your bankroll with our UFC Mexico City odds and betting preview below and score a knockout over the oddsmakers today!
Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas
Best Odds on Rodriguez to Win the Fight: Pinnacle (-145)
Best Odds on Borjas to Win the Fight: Sports Interaction (+130)
Kicking off the main card with a bang, Ronaldo “Lazy Boy” Rodriguez will look to continue building momentum around himself as he takes on Peru’s, Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas.
In a battle between two young up-and-comers in the flyweight division, watch as Rodriguez extends his UFC undefeated streak as he triumphs over Borjas by submission.
Possessing a superb all-around game, Rodriguez has proven himself to be a dangerous finisher inside the Octagon. With 12 of his 17 pro MMA victories coming inside the distance, there’s no questioning Lazy Boy’s ability to get active once the cage door closes.
While Borjas has shown flashes of potential against tough competition in the past with loses to the likes of Alessandro Costa and Joshua Van, he’s simply too reliant on his standup game in order to generate wins.
Look for Rodriquez to be the faster fighter, making up for his three-inch reach disadvantage, being the first to enter exchanges, leading to him finding the perfect opportunity to shoot for the takedown and lock in a fight-ending submission.
Prediction: Rodriguez to Win by Submission (+400 @ bet365)
David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira
Best Odds on Martinez to Win the Fight: Betway (-400)
Best Odds on Oliveira to Win the Fight: Pinnacle (+321)
Set to make a statement in his UFC debut, look for David “Black Spartan” Martinez to get the better of Saimon Oliveira as he scores the knockout victory in their upcoming clash.
Coming off of a strong showing against Xavier Franklin on Dana White’s Contender Series, Martinez has now extended his current professional MMA win streak to seven, with five of those wins coming by knockout.
Taking on an opponent coming off of back-to-back losses to begin their UFC career in Oliveira, look for Martinez to make a statement with his performance at UFC Mexico City, blasting Oliveira with hard shots as he sends him crashing to the canvas early on in their bout.
Prediction: Martinez to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+150 @ bet365)
Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales
Best Odds on Rosas Jr. to Win the Fight: Sports Interaction (-450)
Best Odds on Morales to Win the Fight: bet365 (+380)
Looking to continue on his quest to becoming the youngest UFC champion of all-time, Raul “El Nino Probelema” Rosas Jr. will take on Vince “Vandetta” Morales.
While Morales has proven to be a tough opponent for anyone to face as he makes his 11th trip to the Octagon, he has unfortunately been on the losing side of these bouts more often than not. Taking on a young, motivated, and skilled fighter in Rosas Jr., look for Morales to once again come up short as he takes the loss on the judges’ scorecards.
Since making his UFC debut at just 18 years old, we’ve seen him take massive steps forward in his evolution both in skill as well as in his physical frame.
With his rapid development continuing to build, look for him to rely on his bread-and-butter grappling skillset to control the pace of the bout, keeping Morales in uncomfortable positions as he cruises to a win by decision.
Prediction: Rosas Jr. to Win by Decision (+105 @ Betway)
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer
Best Odds on Gastelum to Win the Fight: Pinnacle (+255)
Best Odds on Pyfer to Win the Fight: Sports Interaction (-300)
Hoping to pick up the biggest win of his career against a former middleweight title contender, Joe “Bodybagz” Pyfer is set to take on Kelvin Gastelum.
Both fighters enter into this upcoming clash coming off of wins, but they both still sit on opposite sides of the spectrum when it comes to the fight game. Pyfer is five years younger and holds a considerable size advantage over Gastelum, setting the stage for what should be a one-sided affair.
Gastelum’s struggles to make weight and keep up a healthy physique have ailed him in the past, something he cannot afford against a dangerous fighter like Pyfer.
While Pyfer has made a name for himself with his incredible knockout power, Gastelum has never been finished by knockout in his professional MMA career. This is even more impressive when you take into account that he’s shared the Octagon with highly-decorated strikers such as Israel Adesanya, Robert Whittaker, and Jared Cannonier in his UFC tenure.
With that being taken into consideration, you can still expect to see Pyfer pick up the win inside the distance as he scores just the second submission victory of his UFC career.
Pyfer has recently put ample effort into developing his grappling skillset, having competed in three grappling matchups since 2020, winning each of them to boot. Look for him to finally showcase this layer of his game inside the Octagon.
With Gastelum having been submitted in two of his last four losses, expect to see Pyfer wear him down with hard shots early in the bout, before bringing the action to the ground, and forcing Gastelum to give up for a cheeky +350 boost to your bankroll.
Prediction: Pyfer to Win by Submission (+350 @ Sports Interaction)
Manuel Torres vs. Drew Dober
Best Odds on Torres to Win the Fight: Pinnacle (+102)
Best Odds on Dober to Win the Fight: Betway (-110)
Don’t blink or you might just miss the outcome of the co-main event in this week’s Fight Night action as lethal combatants Manuel “El Loco” Torres and Drew Dober lock horns inside the Octagon.
Both fighters have built reputations as dangerous finishers, with each of them holding multiple first-round knockout victories in the UFC. In a battle between heavy-handed lightweights, look for Dober to edge out the win against Torres as he hands him his second knockout loss in a row.
While Dober has hit a bit of a rough patch in his career having suffered three losses in his last four fights, he still has plenty of upside every time he enters the cage. With outstanding power and a versatile striking skillset, Dober is more than capable of out-striking anyone in the division on his feet.
Even though Torres has had several knockout wins in his short UFC tenure, his power simply doesn’t measure up to Dober’s, which will result in the American quickly silencing the Mexican crowd as their hometown favourite is brutally finished in the penultimate matchup of the evening.
Prediction: Dober to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+162 @ Betway)
Drew Dober moneyline
-125
Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg
Best Odds on Moreno to Win the Fight: bet365 (-225)
Best Odds on Erceg to Win the Fight: Sports Interaction (+200)
Pitting two top contenders for the UFC Flyweight Championship against each other in the main event of UFC Mexico City, former champion #2 Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno will look to earn himself a title shot by besting #8 Steve “Astroboy” Erceg in front of his home crowd.
While neither fighter was successful in defeating current division champion Alexandre Pantoja, it’s impossible understate the magnitude of this bout inside the flyweight division. With both of these skilled fighters having shown championship-level ability, look for the former title holder Moreno to make a statement as he racks up the knockout win over Erceg.
Sporting some of the best boxing at 125 lbs, Moreno has inflected an insane amount of damage to his most recent opponents. Able to move fluidly and land devastating shots, Moreno has scored two of his last three wins by way of KO/TKO.
Facing an opponent in Erceg that recently had his chin cracked against Kai Kara-France, a fighter that was finished by Moreno, by doing simple MMA math you can quickly determine that Erceg is in dangerous waters in this main event bout.
Look for Moreno to overwhelm and out-skill Erceg throughout the duration of the fight, layering damage on his opponent into the latter stages of the fight, before finally forcing it to come to an end by way of knockout.
At +350, this is a legitimate heater of a prop bet that is sure to end your night off right with a juicy win on your bet slips.
Prediction: Moreno to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+350 @ bet365)
UFC Mexico City Prelim Picks
Not only are there several awesome fights scheduled for the main card of this weekend’s action, but you can also score a big win with our UFC Mexico City prelim picks. Check out our best bets for the results of each prelim bout of this Fight Night event and earn your first win before the main card even begins.
- Mederos by DEC (+110)
- Emmers by KO/TKO/DQ (+120)
- Garcia by DEC (-163)
- Godinez by DEC (-150)
- C.Rodriguez by DEC (+137)
- Gautier by KO/TKO/DQ (-138)
- Chairez by SUB (+275)