UFC 305 Odds, Predictions: Adesanya Poised to Reclaim Middleweight Gold

Dricus du Plessis - UFC middleweight champion and Israel Adesanya - No.2 UFC middleweight stare off during the UFC 305 On Sale Press Conference on July 03, 2024 in Perth, Australia

Bad blood is sure to spill out into the octagon for UFC 305 as we await a stacked card from top-to-bottom. Headlined by a grudge match for the Middleweight Championship, Dricus Du Plessis will defend his crown at 185lbs against all-time division great, Israel Adesanya. With their feud dating back to UFC 290, this championship bout is more than just a title fight, it’s clearly become personal for these two combatants.

As the anticipation for this upcoming card reaches a boiling point, you can take the intensity to the next level by placing a bet on UFC 305.

Below, you can find our expert picks & predictions, as well as the best odds available on each of the main card scraps scheduled for Saturday night. If you’re interested in placing a bet on UFC 305 but aren’t sure where to take your action, make sure to check out our in-depth reviews on the top UFC betting sites in Canada to place your next wager with.

Check out our UFC 305 best bets below and score your next big win on this upcoming MMA action with CSB.

Israel Adesanya Moneyline

-115

Li Jiangliang vs. Carlos Prates

Best odds on Jiangliang to win fight: bet365 (+300)
Best odds on Prates to win fight: Betway (-334)

Kicking off the main card between two proven finishers in the welterweight division, Li “The Leech” Jiangliang will square off against Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates.

While both fighters have showcased their knockout power in the Octagon, neither man has ever been finished in their UFC careers. Look for this streak to come to an end for one of these combatants as Prates continues his current winning streak as he scores the knockout victory over Jiangliang.

Entering this matchup riding a three-fight knockout streak in both the UFC and Dana White Contender Series, Prates has established himself as one of the most dangerous strikers at 170lbs. With a staggering 78″ reach, Prates will have no trouble landing in exchanges with Jiangliang who only sports a 72″ reach.

With his advantage in power and reach, look for Prates to mix it up on the feet, throwing a beautiful combination of punches, kicks, knees, and elbows, in order to send the Chinese slugger crashing down to the canvas, as he continues his rise through the division standings.

Back Prates to start UFC 305 off with a bang, securing the knockout win over Jiangliang, and earning you an easy payday as a result.

Prediction: Prates to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-120 @ bet365)

Tai Tuivasa vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Best odds on Tuivasa to win fight: bet365 (+200)
Best odds on Rozenstruik to win fight: Betway (-225)

Set to be a heavyweight slugfest, don’t blink or you may just miss the finish of this bout as Tai “Bam Bam” Tuivasa takes on Jairzinho “Big Boy” Rozenstruik. With both fighters looking to provide themselves a launch pad back into title contention within the heavyweight division with an impressive performance, look for Rozenstruik to silence the Australian crowd as he finishes Tuivasa by knockout.

Having failed to score a win since his knockout over Derrick Lewis in 2022, Tuivasa has been on the receiving end of loss-after-loss. Facing a surging Rozenstruik who is coming off of a dominant display over Shamil Gaziev in March, look for the hometown favourite to taste defeat once again as Rozenstruik shuts his lights out early into this bout.

Don’t expect to see a technical matchup in this one, instead expect to see haymakers thrown early and often as these two knockout artists chase the finish, with Rozenstruik getting the better of the exchanges in the end. Back Bigi Boy to win this fight by knockout for an easy win on your UFC 305 wagers.

Prediction: Rozenstruik to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-149 @ Sports Interaction)

Mateusz Gamrot vs. Dan Hooker

Best odds on Gamrot to win fight: Betway (-334)
Best odds on Hooker to win fight: Sports Interaction (+275)

In a clash between two title hopefuls in the lightweight division, the upcoming battle between Mateusz “Gamer” Gamrot vs. Dan “Hangman” Hooker is sure to be a thrilling contest from start-to-finish.

While Gamrot has opened as the heavy betting favourite to continue his three-fight win streak, look for his title aspirations to hit a road block as Hooker scores the upset win in this upcoming tilt.

Holding a distinct size advantage, Hooker is easily the more dangerous fighter in this matchup. Sporting an impressive resume including nine finishes under the UFC banner, Hooker is sure to deliver the majority of damage in this bout. While Gamrot is no slouch inside the Octagon, most of his success relies on grappling.

With hooker possessing an underrated ground game, watch as he stifles the takedown attempts of Gamrot, instead forcing him to stand-and-bang on the feet, an area in which Hooker will have a decisive advantage. As the hometown crowd rallies behind the Kiwi kickboxer Hooker, look for him to ride this momentum and score the biggest upset of the main card with a decision victory.

Offered at upwards of +500 odds at most online sportsbooks, this is easily the top moneymaking pick for UFC 305. Boost your bankroll with this sensational prop bet and watch as Hooker has his hand raised in the centre of the octagon as he earns the decision victory on the judges scorecards.

Prediction: Dan Hooker to Win by Decision (+550 @ bet365)

Kai Kara-France vs. Steve Erceg

Best odds on Kara-France to win fight: bet365 (+150)
Best odds on Erceg to win fight: Pinnacle (-162)

The co-main event of UFC 305 is sure to produce fireworks in the Octagon as flyweight contenders Kai “Don’t Blink” Kara-France takes on Steve “AstroBoy” Erceg. With both fighters looking to put forth an impressive performance in order to earn a title shot at 125lbs, look for Erceg to come out as the victor in this marquee matchup.

After a strong showing in which he pushed current division champions Alexandre Pantoja to the limit, Erceg has proven himself to be a legitimate title threat at flyweight. While Kara-France has strung together superb showings throughout his UFC career, he is sure to struggle with the grappling and size advantage of his opponent.

Holding a four-inch height advantage, look for Erceg to avoid trading with the dangerous striker KKF, instead biding his time before shooting for a takedown, a place where he can comfortable control the pace of the fight. With Kara-France lacking in the wrestling department, this glaring hole in his game will be easily exploited by the Aussie Erceg.

In the battle of New Zealand vs. Australia, look for the hometown favourite to walk away the winner, with Erceg scoring the decision victory as he looks to earn another crack at flyweight gold.

Prediction: Steve Erceg to Win by Decision (+130 @ bet365)

Erceg to Win by Decision

+125

Dricus Du Plessis vs. Israel Adesanya

Best odds on Du Plessis to win fight: Pinnacle (+102)
Best odds on Adesanya to win fight: Betway (-110)

Set for five rounds of non-stop action, the excitement around this main event bout has reached a fever pitch. As Dricus “Still Knocks” Du Plessis looks to record his first title defence, look for this to be spoiled by the returning Israel “Stylebender” Adesanya, as he reclaims his middleweight title from his rival.

While Du Plessis has shown rapid development in his skillset since his UFC debut, he still is far away from reaching the talent level of Adesanya. While Du Plessis relies on making fights ugly in order to secure the victory through his wild and risky fighting style, the ever calm and composed Adesanya will have no trouble picking his shots and landing effectively through the upcoming title fight.

Having proven he can put together a five-round clinic multiple times throughout his career, look for Adesanya to utilize his experience and fight IQ in order to slowly breakdown the defending champ, as he cruises to a win on the judges scorecards. In his eight career UFC middleweight title fights, Adesanya has won five of those bouts by way of decision, a trend that is sure to continue at UFC 305.

Look for Adesanya to settle this feud once and for all, reclaiming the middleweight title, and putting on a show throughout this five-round contest as he earns the decision victory. At upwards of +200 odds at most sportsbooks, this is a spectacular prop bet that will cap off your UFC 305 betting experience with a hefty payout.

Prediction: Israel Adesanya to Win by Decision (+225 @ 888sport)