UFC 304 Odds, Predictions: Edwards Poised For Third Title Defence

Opponents Leon Edwards of Jamaica and Belal Muhammad pose during the UFC 304 press conference at Co-op Live on July 25, 2024 in Manchester, England.

Headlined by two world title fights, UFC 304 is going down live from the Co-op Live Arena in Manchester, England in what is sure to be a stellar night of mixed martial arts. With thrilling bouts scheduled from start to finish, take the excitement of the action to the next level by placing a bet on the main card of UFC 304.

Below, we’ve provided our expert picks & predictions on the latest UFC 304 odds so you can score a knockout over the oddsmakers and win big on this marquee event. Along with our picks, we also provide you with the best odds from the top UFC betting sites on the market so you can place your bets at a safe and reliable sportsbook.

Check out our UFC 304 predictions below and see how you can score your next winning wager on the premier MMA organization.

Leon Edwards Moneyline

-263

Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadze

Best odds on Allen to win fight: -225 @ Pinnacle
Best odds on Chikadze to win fight: +210 @ Betway

Kicking off the main card with a bout between two European talents, Arnold “Almighty” Allen will take on Giga “Ninja” Chikadze. While Allen is sure to have his hometown English fans behind him, look for Chikadze to spoil his homecoming as he pulls off the upset victory.

Sporting a considerable four-inch advantage in both height and reach, Chikadze is poised to get the better of Allen in striking exchanges. With neither fighter known for their grappling, Chikadze is primed to dictate the pace of the bout as he uses his unique striking skillset to land distance blows to Allen, while preventing him from closing the distance.

Neither fighter has ever been knocked out, meaning this could be a technical slugfest from start-to-finish. Watch as Chikadze lands the heavier shots at a more frequent rate than Allen, as he cruises to a decision victory to start off the main card at UFC 304.

Prediction: Chikadze to win by Decision (+400 @ Sports Interaction)

Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Gregory Rodrigues

Best odds on Duncan to win fight: -138 @ Pinnacle
Best odds on Rodrigues to win fight: +125 @ bet365

An under the radar bout that could steal fight of the night honours, look for heavy shots to be delivered fast and furiously as Christian Leroy Duncan takes on Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues. With both combatants having proven themselves as lethal knockout artists, look for the trend of hometown favourites to end up on the losing side of the spectrum as the Brazilian Rodrigues finishes England’s, CLD.

While both Duncan and Rodrigues are coming off of back-to-back knockout victories, Robocop is simply the heavier-hitter when it comes down to it. While he will be giving up a four-inch reach advantage, look for the pressure from Rodrigues to simply be too much for Duncan, as he puts his back against the cage and delivers crushing blows in return.

Back the power-puncher Rodrigues to continue cementing his spot as a premier knockout threat in the light heavyweight division as he stalls the hype train of CLD, nabbing the upset victory in the process.

Prediction: Rodrigues to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+375 @ bet365)

King Green vs. Paddy Pimblett

Best odds on Green to win fight: -115 @ Pinnacle
Best odds on Pimblett to win fight: +100 @ bet365

A highly-anticipated matchup between fan favourites at lightweight, the newly named, King Green will take on rising star Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett in a featured fray at UFC 304. With both fighters aiming to break into the Top 15 of the division, this is sure to be a competitive contest.

Each combatant possesses a well-rounded game, able to perform effectively in the standup as well as on the ground. While Green has more octagon experience, Pimblett has the advantage of youth on his side, as well as a two-inch edge in reach. While this clash is sure to be close, look for Green to take the win on the judges’ scorecards.

Neither fighter has recorded a finish in their last two bouts, instead opting to use high volume input to rack up damage as well as points in their favour. Green is the superior striker and has one of the toughest mindsets in the sport. Look for him to use his high motor and aggressiveness to keep Pimblett on his back foot as he looks to expose the controversial stars weaknesses on the biggest stage.

Pimblett has had some scares in the octagon and may not be cut out for the upper echelon of one of the UFCs toughest divisions. Look for him to suffer his first UFC loss in this upcoming clash as Green gets his hand raised in victory by decision.

Prediction: Green to win by decision (+162 @ Betway)

Green to Win via Decision

+150

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes

Best odds on Aspinall to win fight: -350 @ Betway
Best odds on Blaydes to win fight: +300 @ bet365

A banger of a matchup will be going down in the co-main event of the evening, as the Interim-UFC Heavyweight Championship will be on the line between Tom Apsinall vs. Curtis “Razor” Blaydes. After their first matchup was cut short in the first round after a fluke knee injury suffered by Aspinall, this contest is sure to be a barnburner.

Arguably the two top heavyweights in the world, both Aspinall and Blaydes possess world-class skillsets that are befitting of a champion. While Blaydes may have the edge in wrestling, look for the striking speed and knockout power of Aspinall to be too much to handle for the American grappler.

After finishing surging heavyweight contender Sergei Pavlovich in the first round in order to win the interim heavyweight belt, Aspinall has proven he may be the most dangerous man in the division. Blaydes has often been undisciplined in his game plan, attempting to stand-and-bang with heavy-hitters and having paid the price in turn.

Look for Aspinall to keep this fight on the feet, landing crushing blows early and often, leading to his third-consecutive knockout victory and reclaiming his interim-heavyweight gold.

This win would surely set the Co-op Live arena ablaze as the Englishman, Aspinall would put an end to the UK losing streak projected for the main card.

Prediction: Aspinall to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-150 @ 888sport)

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad

Best odds on Edwards to win fight: -250 @ Betway
Best odds on Muhammad to win fight: +210 @ Sports Interaction

Capping off a star-studded event, the main event of UFC 304 is a rematch between two decorated combatants in the welterweight division, as Leon “Rocky” Edwards squares off with Belal “Remember the Name” Muhammad. In a rematch from their 2021 bout that saw the fight end in a No Contest after an accidental eye poke from Edwards rendered Muhammad unable to continue.

With legitimate animosity between these two top talents at 170lbs, this bout is sure to be a fiery affair. In a great clash of styles, the kickboxing of Edwards will be going toe-to-toe with the grappling of Muhammad. Both fighters have built reputations for going the distance in their bouts, with this matchup sure to last all five rounds.

While Muhammad is riding a 10-fight unbeaten streak entering into this main event clash, look for Edwards to largely dominate the matchup. The superior athlete, look for Edwards to have no fear when trading blows, possessing superior speed and power on the feet.

Muhammad may attempt to use his grappling to gain an advantage, but Edwards has proven that he has tremendous takedown defence in his recent title defences against top-notch wrestlers in Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington.

As Edwards is sure to lead the dance, bank on him to cap off this showcase with a decision victory, leaving no doubt to his claim as the top welterweight in the UFC, racking up his third title defence in front of his hometown crowd.

Prediction: Edwards to win by Decision (+130 @ 888sport)