EURO 2024 Gameday Odds (June 30) – England, Spain Look To Advance, Eyes On Cinderella Georgia

The second slate of Round of 16 fixtures at EURO 2024 looks straightforward on paper. Two huge footballing nations, England and Spain, the top two favourites to win it all and both group winners, will square off against less heralded foes.

Slovakia and Georgia, their respective opponents, only advanced from the group stage as third-place finishers, needing results elsewhere to ensure their time in Germany continued. The game is not played on paper, however, and should the more illustrious opponents waiver these two have shown they are more than capable of providing an upset.

12:00 p.m. ET Headliner: England vs. Slovakia

England Win	-213	Slovakia Win	+900	Draw	+305
Over 2.5 Goals	+125	Under 2.5 Goals	-154	Broadcast	TSN

This has not been the tournament England and their fans envisaged. On one hand, the Three Lions navigated the group stage well enough, topping Group C, unbeaten throughout, conceding just once through three matches. But a scoreless draw to Slovenia on the final match day only furthered the growing frustrations back home.

Runners-up at EURO 2020, losing to Italy in the final, England came to Germany with great expectations. They have not yet lived up to them. Gareth Southgate’s side has scored just two goals and a pair of lifeless draws after winning the opener in less than spectacular fashion has questions being asked. They will aim to correct that narrative in Gelsenkirchen against Slovakia.

Having missed EURO 2008 entirely, the English have reached at least the quarterfinal stage in three of their last four appearances, and an early exit would only darken the storm around the side.

The glorious past of the 60s and 70s, when the Slovaks competed for titles as part of Czechoslovakia, is long gone. Making their third appearance at the European Championships as an independent nation, the Falcons are no strangers to the knockout stage. They reached the Round of 16 at EURO 2016 only to fall 3-0 to Germany in France.

Throughout the group stage, Francesco Calzona’s side thrived as a team that was hard to play against. They frustrated Belgium in their Group E opener—one of the early shocks of these EUROs—but then needed a tie-breaker to advance to the knockout round after collecting just one more point in their next two outings. Every team in the group finished with four points.

England has been unbeaten in the six all-time meetings between the sides, having won five of those clashes, including the most recent one in 2017. The only blemish on that record is a scoreless draw in the group stage at EURO 2016. Slovakia will look to frustrate the English and strike when the attention drops.

Game Bets To Consider

• England are heavy favourites in this one, but given their struggles in Germany, just how they get across that line will be interesting to watch. The nerves back home will already be jangled, but should England leave it to extra time or even penalties that stress will rise and rise. Opting for one of those – Method of Qualification England in Extra Time +775 and England on Penalties +1150 – brings some extra value to the expected result. Betano is offering enhanced odds on a cheeky bet of Win Either Half – Slovakia at +330.
• An early goal from captain Harry Kane would go a long way towards smoothing those English nerves. Enhanced odds on First Goalscorer – Kane (England) are bumped up to +310, while for Slovakia, Ivan Schranz already has two goals in Germany; his goal scorer line sits at Anytime +725, First +2200, Last +2200 – both his goals were openers inside of 17 minutes.

3:00 p.m. ET Headliner: Spain vs. Georgia

Spain Win	-435	Georgia Win	+1550	Draw	+560
Over 2.5 Goals	-154	Under 2.5 Goals	+125	Broadcast	TSN

In a tournament where the story has largely been the stumbles of big sides, Spain has quietly gone about its business. A big win over Croatia was a statement of intent from La Roja, but with an own goal, the decisive factor against Italy, and a Ferran Torres strike all that was needed to defeat Albania 1-0 in the final group stage hurdle, Luis de la Fuente’s side has hovered a little under the radar.

Spain was the only side to navigate the group stage with a perfect record of three wins from three matches. They are the only side yet to concede and enter the knockout rounds well-rested, having rotated their starting lineup against the Albanians. It seems to have been forgotten that the Spanish only exited EURO 2020 at the semifinal stage, losing to eventual winners Italy in a shootout. That Spain has been bounced from three of the last four major tournaments at the Round of 16 – by Italy (2016), Russia (2018), and Morocco (2022), has clouded the fact that not so long ago, they were back-to-back European champions who lifted a World Cup in between.

Georgia have been rightly praised as one of the tales of the tournament. Making their EURO debut, the Crusaders have stormed into the hearts of soccer fans with their energetic, fearless approach. Outgunned by Turkey in the opener, the Georgians rallied, collecting four points from their final two matches, including a stunning 2-0 win over Portugal on the final day to advance as the third-place finishers out of Group F.

Their star, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Georges Mikautadze, who leads EURO 2024 with three goals, provided ammunition for Willy Sagnol’s side against the Portuguese, and that duo will be relied upon again against the Spanish. Somewhat fittingly, Georgia, who had to take the long road to Germany, finds itself facing one of the teams that stood in their way at the beginning of that journey.

Spain has won six of the seven all-time meetings, with Georgia’s only victory coming in 2016. The most recent encounters came in qualification for EURO 2024 when Spain defeated Georgia by a combined score of 10-2 over two matches played in 2023.

Game Bets To Consider

• Like England, Spain is heavily favoured in Cologne, but combining Game Result/Both Teams to Score brings some value to the equation. Spain/Yes sits at +225.
• Yes, Spain has not yet conceded, but they have allowed chances – their xG against sits at 2.7 – Georgia have found the back of the net in all three of their matches. Mikautadze, who plays in the second tier in France, has been involved in all four Georgian goals, scoring three and registering an assist on Kvaratskhelia’s early goal against Portugal. Enhanced odds on Mikautadze or Kvaratskhelia to Score Anytime are upped to +255.

Latest EURO 2024 Futures Odds

Here are the latest EURO 2024 Futures odds, heading into the matches on June 30:

Team		Jun 26	Team		Jun 26
England	+400	+500	Portugal	+650	+550
Spain	+450	+450	Netherlands	+1100	+1900
Germany	+500	+450	Austria	+1700	+3400
France	+550	+375	Italy	+1700	+1400

No movement in the futures market over the last 24 hours, but expect that to change once the results from the Round of 16 matches start rolling in.