One set of matches not enough? The final two match days of the group stage at EURO 2024 will double the fun with a pair of groups wrapping up each day. The first day of decisive games featured tons of drama with Switzerland taking the lead against Germany only for the hosts to respond in stoppage-time to salvage a draw. Hungary left it even later, scoring the game-winner in the 100th minute to leap over Scotland and give themselves a shot at moving on as one of the third-placed sides.
June 25 will conclude Groups C and D. Group D will be the earlier kickoff and will see France attempt to score their first goal (their only tally thus far is an own-goal) in the headline fixture, while the afternoon headliner will see England look to silence the critics and secure a spot in the next round.
12:00 p.m. ET Headliner: France vs Poland
| France Win | -323 | Poland Win | +1000 | Draw | +470 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -161 | Under 2.5 Goals | +130 | Broadcast | TSN |
France, unbeaten and yet to concede a goal, have underwhelmed in Germany. One of the outright favourites, the French have struggled to impose themselves in matches. They needed an own-goal to overcome Austria, seemed content to take a scoreless draw from the rubber match against the Netherlands, and were spared additional blushes when a controversial offside decision ruled out a Dutch winner.
Didier Deschamps’ Les Bleus side, well-aware that how one emerges matters less than that one does emerge, will not be panicking. Closing the group out against an eliminated Poland in Dortmund will provide an opportunity to build a bit of momentum before EURO 2024 gets serious. That said, the French are not entirely in the clear. A defeat combined with an Austrian win would see goal difference come into play for that automatic second berth.
Poland was the first nation eliminated from the competition, only just joined by Scotland with the conclusion of Group A. The combination of their 3-1 loss to Austria and the 0-0 draw between France and the Netherlands meant there was no possibility of a third-place finish.
The Eagles were overwhelmed by the Dutch in their first match and suffered a similar fate against the Austrians. They drew level through Krzysztof Piatek having conceded early, but had no response two a pair of second half strikes, despite the return of their captain Robert Lewandowski.
The 35-year-old striker entered the fray in the 60th minute and with this possibly his final major tournament, Michal Probierz’s side will be eager to send out the legend in style, salve the pain of the early exit for the proud nation, and stamp their mark as they head out the door by giving France some trouble.
Game Bets To Consider:
- France are heavy favourites and should get the job done in this one. Poland has scored in both their matches, but a shutout victory for the French, who have yet to concede would not be a surprise, so enhanced odds of +180 available on Correct Score (Multiple) – (1-0), (2-0), or (3-0) looks inviting.
- Same-game parlay of France Over/Under Corners – Over 5.5, Score Anytime – Antoine Griezmann (France), and France Shots on target – Over 6.5 is set at +500. For it to come good, France would have to be the attacking side everyone expects them to be.
- Averaging just four corners per match in their first two, the over 5.5 (-154) is a bit of a stretch, and with just six of their 29 shots in Germany on target that too will need improvement. The risk of failure has a way of sharpening the focus. The French will be on the front foot here and are due to show their quality.
- Griezmann has been France’s most dangerous attacker. With an xG of 1.8 through two matches, only Kai Havertz of Germany has amassed a similar quality of opportunities. Havertz has his goal, Griezmann (+137 to score) will come good eventually.
3:00 p.m. ET Headliner: England vs Slovenia
| England Win | -270 | Slovenia Win | +950 | Draw | +400 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -114 | Under 2.5 Goals | -108 | Broadcast | TSN |
Like France, much was expected of England at EURO 2024. And like France, they have done enough to position themselves to advance, but with the wrong results could end up on the outside looking in. An opening day win over Serbia raised the ire back home. The less than inspiring 1-1 draw against Denmark in the second has claws out for Gareth Southgate’s side.
Harry Kane gave them the lead, only for Denmark to pull back level before half-time. The pressure is building for the Three Lions and though one of the advancements of recent years was how the group has been able to keep that noise to the outside, every side has a breaking point.
An impressive win over Slovenia in Cologne will go a long way to calming those frayed nerves, but also comes with some danger. A defeat combined with a Danish win would see England drop to third, and if the expectation has been a burden to this point, it will then become crushing.
Having managed a 1-1 draw against Denmark in their tournament debut, Slovenia took the lead against Serbia at the midway point of the second half through Zan Karnicnik and looked set to grab all three points, only for a 95th-minute strike to force a sharing of the spoils.
Matjaz Kek’s side would have had modest expectations coming into their first major tournament since 2010, but have put themselves in position to advance out of a group stage for the first time as an independent nation.
Game Bets To Consider:
- England are expected to win (-270 to +950 for Slovenia), but goals have been hard to come by. Pairing an English result with the under in Game Result with Over/Under (1.5) pays out at +460.
- Enhanced odds of +530 for Harry Kane, 1.5, and Benjamin Sesko, 0.5, to both hit the overs for shots on target catches the eye.
- Kane has put two of his three shots on target and will be central to English hopes of a strong showing. Sesko has kept just one of his four attempts on goal, but with chances expected to be few and far between for the Slovenians on the day, will look to improve that percentage.
Bet on England vs. Slovenia
ENG -270
SLO +950
Other EURO 2024 Games On June 25
Netherlands vs Austria, 12:00 p.m. ET
The Netherlands beat Poland in their opener and then saw a game-winner from Xavi Simons ruled offside in a scoreless draw with France. The Oranje currently top Group D by dint of goal difference, but could easily drop into third position should they lose to Austria in Berlin. Ronald Koeman and company will know that the French will have no plan to do them a favour by losing to Poland, so their situation is get a result, win or draw, and a knockout round berth awaits.
Austria pushed France to the wire in their first match and followed that up with an impressive 3-1 win over Poland. Goals from Gernot Trauner, Christoph Baumgartner, and a Marko Arnautovic penalty kick breathed life into Das Team after not being rewarded for their efforts against the French. Ralf Rangnick’s side were expected to turn some heads in Germany, and they have, but to truly make a mark they must emerge from this difficult group.
Game Bets To Consider:
- Somewhat surprisingly, the line is pretty narrow – Netherlands (+122), Tie (+210), and Austria (+290). The Dutch have won the last seven meetings, most recently a 2-0 win in 2021 during the group stage of EURO 2020.
- A straight bet for the Dutch has some value, but can be improved with a same-game parlay of Game Result – Netherlands, Total Cards (Over/Under) 1st Half – Over 1.5, and Score Anytime – Cody Gakpo at +850.
- Gakpo found the back of the net against Poland and the added intensity of these decisive games will always result in more cards shown.
Denmark vs Serbia, 3:00 p.m. ET
The Danes have drawn both matches 1-1 in Germany. Pulled back by Slovenia in the first after taking the lead, the Red and Whites did the same to England in the second with Morten Hjulmand providing the equalizer. Kasper Hjulmand’s side reached the semifinals in 2020, but will need a result in Munich and some English help to assure themselves a passage deeper into EURO 2024.
Undone only by a Jude Bellingham header against England, The Eagles salvaged a point against Slovenia courtesy of a strike from Luka Jovic. Dragan Stojkovic’s side looked poised to make a fourth-straight group stage exit, but that first goal in Germany has given them a chance to advance. A win over Denmark would put them on four points where only a stunning Slovenian win over England would not see them leap into the top two of Group C.
Game Bets To Consider:
- The line is relatively level in this one with Denmark at +132, a Tie at +255, and Serbia at +220.
- While the fact is that both Denmark goals came early in matches, Serbia’s only goal came deep in stoppage-time and the first two deciders both saw the action ratcheted up as that final whistle loomed. Both these sides will be desperate to continue on: enhanced odds on Both Teams to Score in the 2nd Half – Yes is offered at +200.
Latest EURO 2024 Outright Odds
Here are the latest EURO 2024 outright odds heading into the matches on June 25:
| Team |  | Yesterday | Team | | Yesterday |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +400 | +400 | Portugal | +550 | +550 |
| Germany | +400 | +400 | Netherlands | +1700 | +1600 |
| England | +500 | +500 | Italy | +1700 | +1900 |
| Spain | +500 | +500 | Belgium | +2400 | +2400 |
No movement at the top once more, as the top five – France, Germany, England, Spain, and Portugal – all remained stable, but there has been some drift in the longshots: the Netherlands dropped to +1700, while Italy moved up to the same odds.
