Super Bowl LIX is right around the corner, and Canada Sports Betting is here to help you place some wagers on player props.
Thousands of player prop betting markets will be available at online sportsbooks for the Feb. 9 clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles, so it can be difficult to decipher which betting markets hold value.
Here are three player props to consider adding to your bet slip for the Big Game.
Travis Kelce anytime TD
Best odds: DraftKings (+135)
Love him or hate him, Kelce is an absolute monster in the playoffs, as evidenced by his 20 touchdown receptions in 24 career postseason games. He owns the fourth-most receiving yards in Super Bowl history with 350 yards in his four appearances and also boasts the second-most receptions in Super Bowl history with 31, trailing only Hall of Famer Jerry Rice. He has two receiving touchdowns to his credit in his four Super Bowl appearances, including one against the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII.
Kelce was quiet in last weekend’s AFC Championship Game against the Buffalo Bills, with just two catches on four targets for 19 yards, but he’s quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ go-to guy in the playoffs, and he should see plenty of targets against a stout Philadelphia defence, which ranks at or near the top of the league in several statistical categories. The Eagles are allowing an average of just 0.25 touchdown receptions per game to the tight end position this season, but they did cough up touchdowns to a pair of LA Rams tight ends, Colby Parkinson and Tyler Higbee, in the divisional round.
At +135 odds (42.5 percent implied odds), back Kelce to shine when it matters most against a stellar Eagles defence, which should keep most of Kansas City’s wideouts in check throughout the game, forcing Kansas City to utilize Kelce’s skillset early and often.
Jake Elliott over 6.5 kicking points
Best odds: -130 (Betway)
This isn’t the sexiest wager, but there’s concrete data suggesting it’s a strong play.
Elliott has exceeded this mark in seven straight games, averaging 10 kicking points per game (with a median of 10 kicking points, too). He’s averaged 7.9 kicking points this season, besting his projected total of 6.5 in 14 of his 20 games (70% hit rate). Kansas City allowed an average of 1.9 field goal attempts per game during the regular season, which ranks in the middle of the pack. Also keep in mind that he’ll be kicking in a climate-controlled environment at the Caesars Superdome, which should also help slightly with accuracy.
Most online sportsbooks have the projected game total at around 49 points and the Eagles team total at around 23.5. Sports betting data from BetMGM on Monday revealed 88% of bets and 90% of the handle at the sportsbook were on the over 48.5-point game total, suggesting the public is anticipating a high-scoring affair.
Jake Elliott over 6.5 kicking points
Dallas Goedert over 47.5 receiving yards
Best odds: Pinnacle (-121)
This line is as high as 52.5 at some online sportsbooks, so move quickly to get the best line at Pinnacle on this very popular prop. BetMGM reported on Tuesday that 99% of the handle is on Goedert over 48.5 receiving yards at the sportsbook, making it one of the most lopsided props in terms of action.
So why is this a popular early Super Bowl bet? Well, the Chiefs have been exploited by opposing tight ends this year, allowing an average of 78.5 receiving yards to them, the worst mark in the NFL.
Goedert had a mediocre regular season, catching just 42 passes for 492 yards and two touchdowns. However, he hauled in seven catches for 85 yards in last weekend’s NFC Championship Game against the Washington Commanders. And the week before that, he caught four passes for 56 yards against the Rams as an effective outlet in Philadelphia’s pass offence. Additionally, in 11 career postseason games, Goedert is averaging 48.63 receiving yards per game.
