With just three weeks remaining in the regular season, it’s that time of the year when NFL bettors begin to sweat their season win total wagers.
Many teams, like the Detroit Lions, Pittsburgh Steelers, Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Commanders, and Denver Broncos, to name a few, have already exceeded the pre-season expectations of oddsmakers. While other teams, like the San Francisco 49ers, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Las Vegas Raiders, have already paid off bettors that took the under on their respective season win totals.
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
+400
Bet Now!Heading into Week 16, five teams are in a position to surpass their projected season win totals, easing the minds of bettors that backed them to have successful regular seasons. Of course, if these teams can’t get the job done this week, there’s still time to post a final win before the playoffs begin in January.
All odds and season win totals in this article courtesy of bet365.
Los Angeles Chargers
Season win total: 8.5
Current win total: 8
The Chargers will have the first crack at surpassing their season win total when they host the Broncos on Thursday Night Football (check back tomorrow for a full betting preview on CSB!). They’re 2.5-point favourites in that matchup, but they’re coming off back-to-back losses to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chiefs. They’ve been one of the best bets against the spread (9-4-1) to this point, though, and they’re in a good position to clinch a playoff spot in the AFC with an 86% probability heading into this matchup. In fact, a win combined with Miami and Indianapolis losses this week would officially punch their ticket to the postseason. However, quarterback Justin Herbert has been limited in practice this week due to an ankle injury, so that’s a development bettors will want to monitor heading into Thursday night.
Arizona Cardinals
Season win total: 7.5
Current win total: 7
The Cardinals find themselves at the .500 mark entering a juicy matchup this week against the lowly Carolina Panthers. They’re 3.5-point favourites in that Sunday matchup and are coming off a 30-17 win over New England last week. They have just a 13% probability of making the playoffs, according to NFL.com, but with head-to-head matchups remaining against San Francisco and the Rams, they can still make a run at the NFC West title. Bettors holding over tickets on their season win total have to be feeling good about Arizona’s chances, but it could be a sweat if the Cardinals put up a dud against Carolina this week.
Buffalo Bills
Season win total: 11.5
Current win total: 11
Canada’s adopted NFL team has already clinched the AFC East title and is the current Super Bowl favourite with +400 odds at bet365. And with the recent major injuries incurred by the Lions (David Montgomery, Alim McNeill) and Chiefs (Patrick Mahomes), bettors have to love Buffalo’s chances of Super Bowl glory this year, especially with MVP frontrunner Josh Allen (-1000 odds to win the award after the Mahomes injury) in spectacular form. But first things first, the Bills need to satisfy their season win total bettors, which they should do as massive 14-point favourites over the Patriots this week. Don’t worry, Bills backers, if they can’t get the job done this week, they’ll have two more chances for wins against the awful New York Jets and New England again in Week 18.
Buffalo Bills to finish with best regular season record
+2500
Bet Now!Baltimore Ravens
Season win total: 9.5
Current win total: 9
The Ravens have a critical matchup at home against the Steelers this week. They’re trailing Pittsburgh by a game in the AFC North with three to play, and this head-to-head matchup is crucial in the standings as the Ravens already fell to the Steelers in Week 11. A loss this week would essentially squash their chances of winning the division, but they’re still in good shape and should have no issues clinching a playoff berth, with a 99% probability of that happening heading into Week 16. As for their remaining schedule, the Ravens have another tough matchup on Christmas Day in Houston against the Texans before closing out the regular season at home against Cleveland.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Season win total: 8.5
Current win total: 8
The Buccaneers have won four straight games to jump into the No. 3 seed in the conference as the leaders of the NFC South. However, they’ve lost twice to the Falcons already this season, which means Atlanta holds the tiebreaker for a division title should the two teams finish tied atop the division standings. The Bucs control their own destiny, though, with a one-game lead over Atlanta heading into this week’s clash with the Dallas Cowboys as 3.5-point favourites. With remaining games against inferior opponents like the Panthers and Saints rounding out the schedule, it’s incredibly likely the Bucs finish with at least 10 wins and capture the NFC South crown.