And just like that, we’re down to eight teams vying for Super Bowl glory heading into NFL Divisional Round weekend.
Underdogs held their own during Wild Card Weekend, going 3-3 straight-up and 3-3 against the spread. Five of the six matchups played under their respective totals.
This weekend will feature four more games before the field narrows to four teams the following weekend for the conference championships. Super Bowl LIX will be played on Feb. 9 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl
Here’s a look at the odds and the matchups for the NFL Divisional Round now that the field is set:
Matchups/odds
| Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8, 42 o/u) | Saturday, Jan. 18 (4:30 p.m. ET) |
| Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions (-9, 55 o/u) | Saturday, Jan. 18 (8:00 p.m. ET) |
| LA Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles (-6, 43.5 o/u) | Sunday, Jan. 19 (3:00 p.m. ET) |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills (+1, 51.5 o/u) | Sunday, Jan. 19 (6:30 p.m. ET) |
As the AFC’s top seed, the Chiefs enjoyed a bye through the opening round of the playoffs and have the luxury of hosting the Texans on Saturday. These teams met in Week 16 at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Chiefs earning a 27-19 home win. Kansas City dominated in time of possession in that matchup and forced Texans QB C.J. Stroud into throwing a pair of interceptions.
The Commanders earned an impressive 23-20 win on a last-second field goal over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last Sunday to earn the right to visit the NFC’s top seed, the Detroit Lions on Saturday. These teams didn’t play each other during the regular season, and they have the highest posted total (55 points) of any game on the board.
Both the Rams and Eagles earned lopsided victories last weekend to advance. They met in Week 12 in Los Angeles, with the Eagles cruising to a 37-20 victory thanks to an oustanding performance from Saquon Barkley, who rushed for 255 yards and two touchdowns.
The game of the week will be hosted by Buffalo on Sunday night when Baltimore visits. The Ravens absolutely crushed Buffalo, 35-10, at home back in Week 4. Derrick Henry ran for 199 yards and a touchdown, and the Bills were held to just 12 first downs in the lopsided affair.
Bet on Ravens vs. Bills
BAL -1
BUF +1
Betting insights
Here are the latest divisional round betting insights via BetMGM, acccurate as of Tuesday morning:
Most bet teams (tickets)
- Ravens -1
- Lions -9
Most bet teams (money)
- Lions -9
- Ravens -1
| Teams | Opening spread | Current odds | % bets | % handle | Opening total | Current o/u | % bets | % handle | Opening ML | Current ML odds |
| Texans @ Chiefs | HOU (+7.5) KC (-7.5) | HOU (+8) KC (-8) | HOU 45% KC 55% | HOU 31% KC 69% | 42.5 | 41.5 | o 50% u 50% | o 25% u 75% | HOU +260 KC – 350 | HOU +375 KC -500 |
| Commanders @ Lions | WSH (+7.5) DET (-7.5) | WSH (+9) DET (-9) | WSH 43% DET 57% | WSH 40% DET 60% | 49.5 | 55.5 | o 33% u 67% | o 13% u 87% | WSH +240 DET -345 | WSH +400 DET -550 |
| Rams @ Eagles | LA (+6) PHI (-6) | LA (+6) PHI (-6) | LA 58% PHI 42% | LA 67% PHI 33% | 45.5 | 43.5 | o 54% u 46% | o 44% u 56% | LA +240 PHI – 300 | LA +225 PHI -275 |
| Ravens @ Bills | BAL (+1.5) BUF (-1.5) | BAL (-1) BUF (+1) | BAL 61% BUF 39% | BAL 71% BUF 29% | 51.5 | 51.5 | o 39% u 61% | o 30% u 70% | BAL +105 BUF -125 | BAL -120 BUF +100 |
Super Bowl MVP odds/insights
Here are the latest Super Bowl MVP betting insights courtesy of BetMGM, accurate as of Tuesday morning:
Highest ticket number
- Jahmyr Gibbs – 11.1%
- Jared Goff – 8.5%
- Saquon Barkley – 7.9%
Highest handle%
- Jared Goff – 15%
- Lamar Jackson – 14.4%
- Jahmyr Gibbs – 14.1%
