NFL Conference Championship Matchups, Odds, Early Betting Insights

Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs is tackled by Cam Lewis #39 of the Buffalo Bills during the third quarter at Highmark Stadium on November 17, 2024 in Orchard Park, New York.

NFL bettors were treated to some fantastic football this past weekend, and now there are just four teams vying to play in Super Bowl LIX on February 9.

Underdogs went 2-2 straight-up and a perfect 4-0 against the spread during the divisional round. The over also went 3-1 despite two of the games being played in cold, wintry weather.

Buffalo Bills to win the Super Bowl

+250

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The Conference Championships will be played this Sunday, with the Washington Commanders visiting the Philadelphia Eagles in the early game at 3:30 p.m. ET, and the Buffalo Bills visiting the Kansas City Chiefs in the late contest at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Here’s a look at the opening odds for the NFL Conference Championships:

Matchups/odds

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5, 48 o/u)Sunday, Jan. 26, 3:30 p.m. ET
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5, 48.5 o/u)Sunday, Jan. 26, 6:30 p.m. ET
Above odds courtesy of bet365.

The sixth-seeded Commanders (+700 to win Super Bowl) were nearly double-digit underdogs against the Super Bowl-favourite Lions last Sunday, but rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels helped Washington pull off an improbable upset with a 45-31 victory over Detroit to advance to the NFC Championship Game.

Philadelphia (+185 to win Super Bowl), meanwhile, ran its way to a 28-22 win over the Los Angeles Rams in the divisional round. Saquon Barkley erupted for 205 yards on the ground and two touchdowns to continue his incredible season.

Washington and Philadelphia split their regular-season series at a game apiece, with the home team taking each contest. Philadelphia will have home advantage as the higher seed in the NFC, so it could be a frosty affair on Sunday afternoon.

Over in the AFC, Travis Kelce helped power the Chiefs (+220 to win Super Bowl) to a 23-14 win over the Houston Texans. Kelce caught seven passes for 117 yards and a touchdown. It was his ninth 100-yard receiving playoff game, breaking a tie with Hall of Famer Jerry Rice for the most all-time.

Buffalo (+250 to win Super Bowl) slipped past the Baltimore Ravens with a 27-25 victory in the other AFC divisional round game. Mark Andrews had a chance to tie the game up late in the fourth quarter for the Ravens, but he dropped a pass from Lamar Jackson in the end zone on a two-point conversion attempt.

The Bills took their only regular-season meeting with the Chiefs, 30-21, at Highmark Stadium.

Bet on Bills vs. Chiefs

BUF +1.5
KC -1.5

Betting insights

Here are the latest conference championship round betting insights via BetMGM, accurate as of Monday morning:

TeamsOpening spreadCurrent odds% bets% handleOpening totalCurrent o/u% bets% handleOpening ML
Commanders @ EaglesWSH (+5)
PHI (-5.5)
WSH (+5.5)
PHI (-5.5)
WSH (60%)
PHI (40%)
WSH (61%)
PHI (39%)
4848o 68%
u 32%
o 59%
u 41%
WSH +190
PHI -240
Bills @ ChiefsBUF (+1.5)
KC (-1.5)
BUF (+1.5)
KC (-1.5)
BUF (56%)
KC (44%)
BUF (38%)
KC (62%)
4848o 65%
u 35%
o 73%
u 27%
BUF -105
KC -115
Odds in table courtesy of BetMGM.

Super Bowl MVP odds/insights

PlayerCurrent oddsDivsional round oddsOpening odds
Patrick Mahomes (KC)+275+400+400
Josh Allen (BUF)+300+600+650
Saquon Barkley (PHI)+400+1200+2500
Jalen Hurts (PHI)+500+1000+1400
Jayden Daniels (WSH)+750+3000+5000
Travis Kelce (KC)+2500+8000+8000
A.J. Brown (PHI)+3000+3500+10000
Above odds courtesy of BetMGM.

Highest ticket % of active players: Saquon Barkley (8.9%)

Highest handle % of active players: Saquon Barkley (12.8%)