NFL Week 16 Odds, Betting Preview: Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) drops back to pass against the Cleveland Browns during the first quarter at Huntington Bank Field.

As the NFL season continues to unfold, we will be treated to the first of multiple Saturday NFL games through the final stretch of the year. Kicking things off with a thrilling battle between powerhouses in the AFC, the Houston Texans will travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs.

Bet on Texans vs. Chiefs

HOU +3.5
KC -3.5

Facing off for the first time since 2022, both the Texans and Chiefs will need to bring their A-games as they hope to hold onto control over their respective divisions. In what could be a potential playoff preview, the only way to make this contest even more exciting is by placing a bet on the upcoming action.

At CSB, we’ve provided an in-depth betting preview on all the latest Texans vs. Chiefs odds so you can hit pay dirt on all of your bets placed on this featured matchup. Additionally, we’ve also provided you with helpful betting trends, as well as the latest news regarding injuries for both teams and the upcoming weather forecast so you can place educated wagers on the Texans vs. Chiefs.

Don’t wait, check out the latest Texans vs. Chiefs odds below and score your next big win using our expert predictions featured below.

Texans Moneyline Odds+150
Chiefs Moneyline Odds-180
Spread oddsChiefs -3.5 (-105), Texans +3.5 (-115)
Over/UnderOver 41.5 points (-110), Under 41.5 points (-110)
Time/DateDec 21, 1:00 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN/DAZN

Betting the Houston Texans (9-5 SU, 6-6-2 ATS, 4-10 o/u)

After a resurgent season that saw them improve upon their win total by seven games from 2022 to 2023, the Texans look to be a future Super Bowl contender in the AFC. With a lethal offence chock-full of talent, coupled with a surging defensive unit, the Texans are a legitimate postseason threat to watch this year.

Coming off of a solid showing in a win over the Miami Dolphins in Week 15, the Texans will look to further improve upon their standing in the AFC with a win over the current top dog in the conference.

From a betting perspective, the Texans have been so-so in 2024. While they’ve managed to come out ahead in terms of wins and losses, the same can’t be said about their ability to cover the spread. With a 50% cover-rate, the Texans have been a coin flip from week-to-week when it comes to battling against the spread.

Additionally, if you’re a fan of high-scoring football games, the Texans surprisingly haven’t been the team for you as they’ve fallen short of their projected point total in 71.4% of their games played this season, the highest of any team this year.

Betting the Kansas City Chiefs (13-1 SU, 6-8 ATS, 6-8 o/u)

Say what you will about the Chiefs this season, but it’s hard to argue with their continued success year after year. Currently in sole possession of the best record in the NFL, the two-time defending Super Bowl Champions are on the verge of capturing a first-round bye in the 2024 NFL playoffs.

While they’ve managed to rack up no shortage of wins during the regular season, in terms of betting, this hasn’t been a fruitful campaign for the Chiefs. Unless you’ve been hammering the Chiefs moneyline all season, they truly haven’t been a great betting option in 2024. With a losing record against the spread, the Chiefs have failed to be moneymakers for NFL bettors this season.

Having been somewhat unpredictable when it comes to betting this season, the Chiefs will look to cover the spread for the second straight week.

Key Injuries

Heading into Week 16, the Texans have minimal wear-and-tear throughout their current lineup. Players currently listed as questionable heading into their matchup with the Chiefs include RB Joe Mixon, WR John Metchie III, and DT Folorunso Fatukasi.

Having seemingly avoided the continuation of major injury woes after a scary ankle injury suffered by QB Patrick Mahomes appears to be fine, the Chiefs are also expected to have WR Hollywood Brown make his return to action. With this, the Chiefs injury report is essentially blank aside from members of the IR such as WR Mecole Hardman, WR Rashee Rice, and WR Skyy Moore.

Weather

Set for a brisk, sunny day in Kansas City, Missouri, the playing conditions for the upcoming Texans vs. Chiefs game appear to be favourable. With no rain or now in the forecast, the weather shouldn’t play a factor in the outcome.

  • The Texans are 0-3 SU as underdogs in 2024.
  • The Texans have finished four of their last five games played with over 41.5 total points
  • The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS as home favourites in 2024.
  • The Chiefs haven’t finished a game with a combined point total greater than 37 points in three straight weeks.
  • Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown for over 230.5 passing yards in four of his last five games played.
  • With his receptions total set at 3.5 catches, Texans running back Joe Mixon has surpassed this tally in three consecutive outings.
  • Having hauled in over 2.5 receptions in four of his last five games played, Chiefs tight end Noah Gray is a great bet to continue his surging play.
  • Superb at connecting with his receivers in the end zone, Patrick Mahomes has racked up over 1.5 passing touchdowns in five of his last eight games played.

Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

+120

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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions

  • In a battle between two of the top-10 ranked teams in our NFL Power Rankings, the Chiefs are poised to come out on top. Along with their home-field advantage, the Chiefs are only getting better down the stretch of their 2024 campaign. Facing a hot-and-cold Texans squad, the Chiefs are simply the more well-polished team and will be able to outsmart their opponents in order to pick up their fifth straight victory. Bank on the Chiefs as -3.5 favourites against the Texans this weekend.
  • While scoring has been a bit off for both teams this season, look for this to be corrected in their upcoming tilt as they easily combine for over 41.5 total points. With several sensational playmakers scattered across both sidelines, hammer the over on the Texans vs. Chiefs and watch as your bankroll rises alongside the scoreboard.