Monday Night Football is trying something new, side-by-side prime-time games, with both games kicking off at 8:15 p.m. ET this week.
Neither game is expected to be particularly competitive, with the upstart Green Bay Packers travelling to play the woeful New York Giants as 6.5-point favourites and the fast-swimming Miami Dolphins at home as 13.5-point favourites against the free-falling Tennessee Titans.
Bet on Packers vs. Giants
GB -6
NYG +6
As usual, with a full array of prop bets on the board, there are plenty of angles worth exploring for those looking for a little action.
Packers vs. Giants odds
Packers Moneyline Odds | -290 |
Giants Moneyline Odds | +235 |
Spread odds | Packers -6 |
Over/Under | 37.0 points (over -110, under -110) |
Time/Date | Dec. 11, 8:15 p.m. ET |
TV | Broadcast: TSN |
About the Packers (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 6-6 o/u) and Giants (4-8 SU, 4-7-1 ATS, 3-9 o/u)
The Packers have shown the ability to rally late to save their seasons under coach Matt LaFleur, with a 16-0 record in December. They have won three games in a row, including last week’s stunner over the Chiefs, and four of their last five.
Quarterback Jordan Love has been elite lately, having thrown seven touchdowns with no interceptions and with a QB rating of at least 108 in each of his last three games.
The Giants are a good example of a team whose record is better than their performance. They might be in the hunt for next April’s top draft pick if not for a plus-5 turnover differential that has masked an offence that ranks dead last overall and a defence that ranks 28th overall.
Expect them to do what they’ve been having success with lately, getting the ball frequently to Saquon Barkley. Since he returned from an ankle injury in mid-October, Barkley has accounted for 697 rushing yards as well as four touchdowns as a receiver.
Green Bay has been susceptible to the run, ranked 30th in run defence, and just allowed Pacheco to run for 110 yards and a TD Sunday night.
Tommy DeVito has, in some ways, run the offence better than Daniel Jones did. He has thrown seven touchdowns and three interceptions in his last three starts, over which he became the first undrafted free-agent QB ever to post a 100 QB rating in three straight.
Titans vs. Dolphins odds
Titans Moneyline Odds | +550 |
Dolphins Moneyline Odds | -800 |
Spread odds | Dolphins -13.5 |
Over/Under | 46 points (over -110, under -110) |
Time/Date | Dec. 11, 8:15 p.m. ET |
TV | Broadcast: TSN |
About the Titans (4-8 SU, 5-7 ATS, 4-8 o/u) and Dolphins (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS, 7-5 o/u)
The Dolphins will be going for their fourth straight win against a Tennessee club that has lost four of its last five despite a favourable stretch of schedule. The only win in that stretch for the Titans came against the 1-11 Carolina Panthers, with losses to the Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Pittsburgh Steelers.
The only way Tennessee makes a game of this is if it keeps the ball out of the hands of the top-ranked offence in the NFL by controlling the clock with a steady dose of Derrick Henry, who missed some time last week while being evaluated for a concussion, but is listed as full-go for this one.
Henry has rushed for two touchdowns in each of his last two games and ranks second in the NFL with 841 rushing yards.
Everyone knows what Miami is going to try to do, but nobody can seem to stop it. That’s because nobody can cover the NFL’s leading receiver, Tyreek Hill, who is coming off a five-catch, 157-yard performance that included two long touchdowns against the Washington Commanders.
Hill has had at least 100 yards and a touchdown in eight games this season. The next closest receiver in the NFL has managed to do that three times.
Look for an underrated Dolphins defence to send plenty of pressure after rookie QB Will Levis, who was sacked six times last week. Miami is tied for fourth in the NFL with 41 sacks. The Dolphins just held a better QB, Washington’s Sam Howell, to a career-low 127 passing yards.
Bet on Titans vs. Dolphins
TEN +13.5
MIA -13.5
Key Injuries
Packers WR Christian Watson (hamstring) is out. CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder) and CB Eric Stokes (hamstring) are questionable. LB Quay Walker (shoulder) is doubtful.
Giants OT Evan Neal (ankle) will miss his fifth straight game. DTs Dexter Lawrence and A’Shawn Robinson (hamstring) are questionable. TE Darren Waller (hamstring) is still on IR.
The Titans will be without Pro Bowl DL Jeffery Simmons (knee) and TE Josh Whyle (knee). CB Kristian Fulton (hamstring) also is out while P Ryan Stonehouse (knee) is out for the season after undergoing surgery.
The Dolphins placed starting LB Jerome Baker (knee) on injured reserve. S Jevon Holland (knee) and LT Terron Armstead (knee) are questionable, while RG Rob Hunt (hamstring) won’t play.
Weather
After two soggy days in East Rutherford, New Jersey, forecasters are calling for clear skies and moderate winds, with a kickoff temperature of about 1 C.
The weather in South Florida will be about as you’d expect, with clouds and a kickoff temperature of about 20 C with moderate winds gusting up to 32 km/h.
Betting trends
- Green Bay’s games have averaged 42.4 points this season while Giants’ games have averaged 40.5 points. Both those totals appreciably exceed the over-under of 37 in this one.
- The Giants have won one of the five games they’ve played when they were underdogs of +220 or better this season.
- The Titans are 0-6 on the road this season and haven’t won a road game since Nov. 17, 2022, at Green Bay.
- The Dolphins are 8-0 as moneyline favourites this season.
Player prop trends
- Romeo Doubs had four catches for a team-high 72 yards last week. His receiving yards number is set at 40.5 (at -110) in this one.
- Rookie WR Jalin Hyatt had a career-high five catches for 109 yards against New England last week. His number is 27.5 receiving yards (at -110), something that might be worth a look.
- The Titans let Levis play the way he wants to play, which is to try to get the ball downfield. He is averaging 11.83 yards per completion in his six starts, which ranks seventh in the NFL. His longest completion is set at 35.5 yards here (at -115).
- The Dolphins and Tagovailoa also get the ball downfield. As a result, his longest completion is set at a whopping 40.5 (at -115).
Wagers to consider
- There is little doubt the Giants will do whatever they can to make Barkley a big part of this game. Love has been too hot to allow Green Bay to control the clock and the Giants certainly aren’t going to put their fate in the hands of DeVito any more than they have to. But if they fall behind, they might not hand it off to Barkley as much as they normally would. But they also can throw it to him. One play to consider is betting on Barkley to score a touchdown (at +120 odds).
- Miami has dominated lesser opponents and few teams are playing as poorly as the Titans are these days. As massive as that spread is, consider that Miami has dominated six of its nine wins by at least 21 points. They live for these kinds of mismatches. Consider taking the Dolphins at home against a team that has little to play for and a rookie QB who figures to get all sorts of heat in this game.