Thursday Night Football Odds, Betting Preview (Oct. 3): Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions

Atlanta running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs the ball during the NFL game between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons on September 29th, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.

The 2024 NFL season is continuing to roll on as we enter into Week 5. Kicking off the action with a sensational battle between divisional foes, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to improve their record to 4-1 as they take on a solid Atlanta Falcons team (2-2).

Bet on Buccaneers vs. Falcons

TB +1.5
ATL -1.5

After the Falcons notched their first divisional victory over the New Orleans Saints in Week 4, this will serve as Tampa’s first taste of NFC South play in 2024. Division clashes are always intense, meaning the action of the gridiron is sure to be explosive on Thursday Night Football.

The only way the excitement and thrill of tonight’s tilt could get any better is by placing a bet on the latest Thursday Night Football odds. Below, we’ve supplied expert picks, predictions, and analysis with our Buccaneers vs. Falcons betting preview that is sure to help you win big on tonight’s primetime affair.

Get some skin in on the action with all the best odds & lines for the Buccaneers vs. Falcons courtesy of BetVictor.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds

Buccaneers Moneyline Odds+100
Falcons Moneyline Odds-125
Spread oddsFalcons -1.5 (-110), Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under43.5 points (over -110, under -110)
Time/DateOct. 3, 8:15 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN/DAZN

All odds courtesy of BetVictor Canada

Betting Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 o/u)

Off to a spectacular start to their 2024 campaign, the Buccaneers have been one of the top teams to bet on this season. Having pulled off two underdog wins, as well as sporting a stellar 75% cover rate, the Buccaneers have been true moneymakers so far this year.

With quarterback Baker Mayfield beginning to live up to expectations, as well as the continued elite play of star receiver duo Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, the Bucs have quickly become contenders in the NFC South.

Heading into Week 5 as underdogs for the third time this season, the Buccaneers will look to once again shock the football world as they continue to make their push toward a fourth consecutive divisional title.

Betting Atlanta Falcons (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 o/u)

After a busy offseason that saw major changes made throughout their roster, things have begun to click for the new-look Falcons. With improved play from young stars Bijan Robinson and Drake London, coupled with the veteran play of quarterback Kirk Cousins, the Falcons may be poised for a deep postseason run in 2024.

While their upside remains high, the Falcons haven’t been the most bettor-friendly squad so far this year. Having only managed to cover once in their first four games, 0-2 as a favourite, the Falcons are hungry to turn the tides of the season against a divisional rival on Thursday Night Football.

With the opportunity to put the division in a stranglehold with potential 2-0 record in NFC South play, this primetime matchup may serve as a coming out party of sorts for the Falcons this season.

Betting Mismatch

One of the most versatile running backs in the NFL, Falcons star Bijan Robinson is sure to have his fingerprints all over tonight’s marquee matchup. Having proven to be an effective member of the Atlanta offence in both the rushing and passing attacks, look for him to exceed his receiving yards total against the Buccaneers.

Through his first four weeks of play, Robinson has averaged 33.75 receiving yards per game, having grown into a reliable passing option for quarterback Kirk Cousins. Facing a Buccaneers squad that leave much to be desired within their front-seven personnel, Robinson is set for a massive outing against his division rival.

The Buccaneers have had major struggles in containing running backs leaving the backfield so far this season, having allowed 45.2 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs.

Bank on Robinson to continue this trend as he easily clears 25.5 receiving yards against the Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football.

Bijan Robinson Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

-118

Key Injuries

For the Buccaneers, they enter into Week 5 with a slew of injury designations across their depth chart. The Bucs will be without key contributors S Antoine Winfield Jr. and wideouts Jalen McMillan and Trey Palmer. Other top players such as Mike Evans and Tristan Wirfs have both been limited at practice, but are all on track to play on Thursday Night Football.

Holding great overall health across the board, only a few players appear on the Falcons injury report heading into their primetime tilt. RB Bijan Robinson and WR Ray-Ray McCloud III both practiced fully on Wednesday after limited sessions earlier in the week, suggesting they’re on track to go on Thursday. LB Troy Andersen (knee) won’t play.

Weather

No need to worry about the weather heading into Thursday Night Football as the forecast is projecting light winds with no chance of rain. Even in the event that unexpected showers could occur, Mercedes-Benz Stadium has a retractable roof that can be used to prevent less than ideal playing conditions on the field.

  • The Buccaneers have won six of the last eight head-to-head matchups against the Falcons.
  • The Under has hit in four of the Buccaneers’ last six divisional games.
  • The Falcons are 0-2 ATS as favourites in 2024, as well as 0-3 ATS at home this season.
  • Kirk Cousins is 13-21 SU on primetime.
  • Mike Evans has averaged 78.2 receiving yards per game against the Falcons in 18 career games. His line is currently set at 64 yards (-118).
  • Chris Godwin has hauled in at least six receptions in all four games played in the 2024 season. His line currently sits at six receptions (-137).
  • Bijan Robinson has failed to rush for Over 32 yards in back-to-back games. His rushing yards total is currently set at 65.5.
  • Kyle Pitts has averaged 56.3 receiving yards per game in four head-to-head meetings with the Buccaneers. His receiving yards total currently sits at 31 yards (-120)

Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions

  • Set to build off the momentum of last weeks nail-biting victory over the New Orleans Saints, the Falcons are a great bet to cover the spread as favourites against the Buccaneers. Possessing a well-rounded roster with no glaring weaknesses, the Falcons are set to control the pace of this upcoming clash. Look for the Falcons to easily move the ball downfield through their avid rushing attack, as the Buccaneers struggle to string together successful drives against one of the league’s top defences. Hammer the Falcons -1.5 as they cover the spread and win you some bread in this Week 5 opener.
  • In what’s sure to be a thrilling back-and-forth affair, expect to see Over 43.5 total points scored. As both sides are hot off the heels of respective high-scoring battles, look for this trend to continue as each team throws haymaker-after-haymaker in order to secure the coveted divisional victory. Bet the Over on the Buccaneers vs. Falcons on Thursday Night Football and watch as your bankroll rise alongside the scoreboard.