Monday Night Football Odds, Betting Preview: Bills vs. Jets Predictions

Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills throws a pass in the first half against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on October 06, 2024 in Houston, Texas.

Set to finish off Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season with a thrilling battle between AFC East rivals, the Buffalo Bills (3-2) will take on the New York Jets (2-3) on Monday Night Football.

Bet on Bills vs. Jets

BUF -1
NYJ +1

Both sides enter their Week 6 fray coming off of a loss so each team will look to score a big win as their division is completely up for grabs. The only way the action of Monday’s primetime affair could get any better is by placing a bet on the latest Monday Night Football odds.

Below we’ve compiled our expert picks, predictions, and analysis on the Bills vs. Jets, as well as some helpful trends to utilize when building your bet slip. Score your next big win on Monday Night Football odds with our betting preview below.

Bills Moneyline Odds-120
Jets Moneyline Odds+100
Spread oddsBills -1 (-110), Jets +1 (-110)
Over/UnderOver 41 points (-110), Under 41 points (-110)
Time/DateOct. 14, 8:15 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN/DAZN

About the Bills (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 o/u)

Having dropped their last two games, the Bills appear to have their backs against the wall in 2024. After picking up wins over inferior competition in the NFL to begin their season, the Bills have been unable to defeat a team with a winning record.

After being blown out but the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4 and following it up with a disappointing finish against the Houston Texans in Week 5, it appears they aren’t equipped to compete with the top teams in the conference.

The Bills’ inconsistency on the field has trickled into their betting trends as well, so far not being a reliable betting option in any regard.

If the Bills have any hopes of making a deep run in the NFL playoffs this season, they’ll need to gain control over their division, which means taking down the Jets on primetime.

About the Jets (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-3-1 o/u)

The Jets began their week in shocking fashion as they fired head coach Robert Saleh after just his second season at the helm. With a major change in team personnel and culture with this change, the Jets are somewhat of a wild card heading into Week 6.

Coming off of back-to-back losses to the Denver Broncos and Minnesota Vikings, the Jets are desperate to get back into the win column. With playoff aspirations, the Jets have failed to live up to expectations so far this season.

When it comes to betting on the Jets, they’ve been subpar against the spread, but have been one of the best teams in the NFL when it comes to hitting the Under, only trailing the Los Angeles Chargers in this regard.

While it’s been a slow start to the season for the Jets, the division is still within grasp. With home-field advantage on primetime, the Jets will look to use the energy of MetLife Stadium to help bring them across the finish line.

Line Movement

The Bills were 2.5-point favourites at bet365 earlier this week, but that number has since been bet down to Buffalo -1 as of Monday morning. As for the game total, it has been bet down to 41 points after oddsmakers at bet365 posted a 42.5-point total earlier this week.

In the offseason, the point spread and total did look considerably different as the Bills originally opened as just 1.5-point favourites, with the point total sitting at a steep 47.5. The lines began to move after Week 4 when the Bills and Jets both suffered losses, failing to produce offensively in their respective clash.

Key Injuries

The Bills have four players with the questionable tag: CB Taron Johnson, RB James Cook, DT Austin Johnson, and WR Khalil Shakir. DT Ed Oliver has been ruled out.

The Jets are relatively healthy, with only CB Michael Carter II ruled out. TE Tyler Conklin and LB C.J. Mosley are questionable.

Weather

Forecasts are calling for evening temperatures around 10 C under clear skies. However, wind could be a factor in this game, with gusts expected up to 50 km/h.

  • Since the 2022 season, the Bills sport a 10-4 record straight-up when facing AFC East opponents.
  • The Bills have not had a game finish with Under 41 total points through Week 5 this season.
  • Since the 2020 season, the Jets have a 9-16 record against the spread in divisional matchups.
  • Since 2000, teams playing their first games after firing their head coach midseason have a 16-22 record straight-up (42.1%), and a 20-18 record against the spread (52.6%).
  • Bills running back James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Bills’ last four games.
  • Bills quarterback Josh Allen has thrown for Under 200 passing yards in three of his last four games played. His passing yards line is currently set at 206.5 yards (-110).
  • Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers has averaged 250 passing yards over his last three starts. His passing yard total is currently set at 228.5 yards (-110).
  • Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson currently has his receiving yards line priced at 61.5 yards. He has only recorded Over 61.5 yards once so far this season.

James Cook Anytime Touchdown Scorer

+125

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Bills vs. Jets Predictions

  • Capping off the week in what’s sure to be a closely-contested showdown, back the Bills to emerge victorious over the Jets. Having been dominant over the AFC East in recent years, Josh Allen and company are primed to right the ship as they best the Jets in enemy territory. Look for the Bills to rely on the legs of their dual-threat quarterback in order to create unique scoring opportunities, taking advantage of a new coaching regime for the Jets. Bank on the Bills to cover the spread as favourites and head into Week 7 as a winner.
  • With the point total line sitting at a modest 41 points, we highly recommend you SMASH the Over on Monday Night Football. While the Jets haven’t been a part of many high-scoring duels this season, look for the Bills to force their hands as they attempt to compete with their high-powered offence. Additionally, the Bills defence has been lacklustre throughout the 2024 season, allowing 21.2 points per game. Watch as Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen go toe-to-toe, throwing haymakers downfield in a primetime shootout.