NBA Betting Preview (Feb. 14): Pacers vs. Raptors Odds

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Pascal Siakam will ironically make his return to Scotiabank Arena on Valentine’s Day as Toronto Raptors fans still mourn the heartbreak of losing their star player to the Indiana Pacers.

Siakam, a key Raptors player for seven-plus seasons, was traded to Indiana on Jan. 17. He helped Toronto claim its first NBA title in 2019 and ranks third in franchise history in rebounds (3,324), fifth in scoring (8,875 points) and fifth in games played (510). It will surely be an emotional night for Siakam, who never wanted to leave Toronto and felt he could be “one of those dudes who spends his whole career on one team.”

After posting back-to-back wins over Houston and Charlotte, the rebuilding Raptors have been blown out in consecutive games by San Antonio and Cleveland.

Indiana is coming off a disappointing 111-102 loss to the lowly Hornets on Monday and will be looking to close out the unofficial first half of the season strong with a win in Toronto. This will be the last game before the All-Star break for both teams.

Let’s dive into the odds for this matchup via bet365:

Pacers vs. Raptors odds

Pacers Moneyline Odds	-210
Raptors Moneyline Odds	+175
Over/Under	245 points (over -110, under -110)
Spread	Pacers -5 (-110)
Time/Date	Feb. 14, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV	Broadcast: SN1 Stream: NBA League Pass (How to watch the NBA in Canada?)

All odds courtesy of

About the Pacers (30-25 SU, 29-23-3 ATS, 30-25 o/u)

In 14 games since being acquired by Indiana, Siakam is averaging 21.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 4.6 assists. Those numbers are basically on par with what he produced in 39 games for the Raptors before being dealt, so he’s quickly settled into his new surroundings.

Siakam is still developing chemistry with point guard Tyrese Haliburton, who leads the NBA with an average of 11.8 assists per game this season. Haliburton has recorded double-doubles in 30 games and has 11 games with at least 15 dimes.

The Pacers lead the NBA in scoring this season with an average of 123.7 points per game. They’ve reached 140 or more points eight times (8-0 record in those games) this season, 130 or more points 18 times (16-2 record), and 120 or more points 35 times (26-9 record).

Centre Myles Turner currently ranks ninth in the NBA in blocks with 1.9 per game while the Pacers rank third as a team with 6.3 per game.

About the Raptors (19-35 SU, 25-29 ATS, 28-26 o/u)

The Raptors will be playing their fourth and final game of a four-game homestand on Wednesday. They’re 1-3 straight-up and 1-3 against the spread on the homestand, but wins aren’t necessarily a priority for the struggling team right now as they audition some of the young players on the squad for roles next season.

Rookie Gradey Dick scored a team-high 18 points in Monday’s lopsided loss to the Spurs. In 22 minutes, he shot 7-for-10 from the field and 4-of-5 from three-point range. He has recorded double digits in points five times since Jan. 20 after only recording 10+ points two times in his previous 21 games. Dick has now made multiple three-pointers in a career-high five straight games, matching the longest streak for a Raptors rookie since Andrea Bargnani in 2007.

Toronto took the previous meeting between these teams on Nov. 22 by a score of 132-131, although its roster looked drastically different several months ago. Siakam had 36 points and 10 rebounds for Toronto in the victory.

Injury concerns

Haliburton (hamstring) and Bennedict Mathurin (knee) are questionable for the Pacers. James Johnson (illness) and Jalen Smith (back) are out.

RJ Barrett is questionable Wednesday for the Raptors due to personal reasons and Markquis Nowell (hamstring) is listed as out.

Betting trends

• The Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
• The under is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five games.
• The Raptors have played under the total in three straight games.
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +137 or longer, Toronto has gone 3-19 (13.6%) this season.

Player prop trends

• Scottie Barnes has been racking up assists since recently getting more time at the point guard position following the trade of Dennis Schroder to the Brooklyn Nets, averaging nine dimes per game over his last three contests. His assists line at bet365 for those contests was set at 6.5, but the sportsbook raised that number to 7.5 assists on Wednesday. He’s -110 to eclipse that mark.
• Immanuel Quickley is in a bit of a scoring funk for the Raptors, averaging just 13.6 points per game over his last five. He managed just seven points last time out against the lowly Spurs and is shooting just 38% from the field this month. He’s -105 to record under 18.5 points.
• Siakam has been an excellent source of steals lately, recording at least one in six straight games and eight of his last 10. He’s -170 to record over 0.5 steals.

Wagers to consider

• Wagering on Barnes’ assist totals (at 6.5) has been a profitable strategy recently, and although his line has moved up to 7.5 on Wednesday, it’s still worth backing him to go over at -110.
• Boosted SGP – Pacers moneyline, Siakam 25+ points, Haliburton 10+ assists: +325. It’s a classic revenge spot for Siakam against his former team and Haliburton has posted 10 or more assists in each of his last three games while averaging a league-best 11.7 per game this season.
• Game total under 245 points: -110. This is a very lofty total and both teams have been trending to the under lately. The Raptors have been held under 100 points in back-to-back contests and the Pacers are averaging 116.6 points per game over their last five, much lower than their 123.7 season average. Haliburton is likely to suit up despite his questionable tag as the team continues to manage his hamstring issue, but the potential absences of Barrett and Mathurin, two key scorers, suggest this total is too high.