Thursday Night Football Odds, Betting Preview (Nov. 14): Commanders vs. Eagles

Jayden Daniels #5 of the Washington Commanders reacts after a play against the Chicago Bears during the first half of the game at Northwest Stadium on October 27, 2024 in Landover, Maryland.

In a pivotal matchup for control over the NFC East, the Washington Commanders will take on the Philadelphia Eagles from Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday Night Football.

Bet on Commanders vs. Eagles

WAS +3.5
PHI -3.5

Both the Commanders and Eagles have looked like playoff threats within the NFC East, but only one of these top contenders can capture a division title this season. As we are now over the halfway mark of the season, every matchup is crucial to determining the final standings in the NFC.

The only way to take the intensity of this rivalry game to the next level is by placing a bet on the latest Thursday Night Football odds. At CSB, we’ve compiled an in-depth betting preview featuring expert picks, profitable trends, and key information for both squads so you can craft a winning bet slip this evening.

Check out our NFL Commanders vs. Eagles odds, betting preview, and expert picks ahead of tonight’s clash, and take the action of this NFC East showdown to the next level.

Commanders Moneyline Odds+155
Eagles Moneyline Odds-200
Spread oddsEagles -3.5 (-108), Commanders +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under48.5 points (over -110, under -108)
Time/DateNov. 14, 8:15 p.m. ET
TVBroadcast: TSN/DAZN
All odds courtesy of BetVictor Canada

Betting Washington Commanders (7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS, 7-3 o/u)

One of the biggest surprises of the 2024 NFL season has been the elite play of the Washington Commanders. Coming off of porous 4-13 2023 campaign, the Commanders paired strong offseason acquisitions with a sensational get in the 2024 NFL Draft by selecting quarterback Jayden Daniels out of LSU.

In his rookie year, Daniels has already shown that he’s one of the top talents in the league. With his tremendous dual-threat ability, Daniels has provided the Commanders with several big wins already in his young career.

With their team success, betting victories have also been commonplace for the Commanders this season. With a 7-3 straight-up record, backing them to win has been a fruitful market. Additionally, the Commanders enter into Week 11 tied for the highest cover-rate in the NFL at 77.8%. If that wasn’t enough, they’ve also been frequently featured in high-scoring affairs, leading to the second-best over-rate in the NFL behind only the Baltimore Ravens.

Betting Philadelphia Eagles (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS, 4-5 o/u)

After slowing, sputtering, and stalling to finish the season in 2023, the Eagles have come back with a vengeance and once again have their sights set on the Super Bowl. With their already fierce running game having become even more deadly after adding Pro Bowl running back Saquon Barkley to the mix, the Eagles have been a powerhouse in the NFC this season.

The Eagles have racked up impressive wins over formidable opponents such as the Green Bay Packers and Cincinnati Bengals, showcasing their top-end talent early in the season.

While the Eagles have been impressive in terms of wins and losses, they’ve left more to be considered when it comes to betting. With a narrow 55.6% cover rate against the spread, the Eagles haven’t been a safe bet to cover this season. Additionally, they have bounced back and forth between overs and under throughout their current campaign, making them an unreliable betting option outside of the moneyline in 2024.

Betting Mismatch

Coming off of a quiet game in a blowout victory over the Dallas Cowboys last week, look for Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith to make his presence felt against the Commanders on Thursday Night Football.

Comprising the phenomenal wideout duo beside teammate A.J. Brown, Smith has been a reliable betting option throughout the 2024 season. As sure-handed as they come, Smith is always prone to hauling in a highlight reel catch whenever the ball is in his vicinity.

Having racked up Over 53 yards in six of his eight games played in 2024, Smith has had no troubles filling up the boxscore through the air.

Look for the former Heisman Trophy-winning receiver to shine when the lights are bright, compiling Over 53 receiving yards on Thursday Night Football against the Commanders.

DeVonta Smith Over 53 Receiving Yards

-118

Key injuries

LB Nick Bellore (knee), CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring), and K Austin Seibert (hip) are all out for the Commanders. OT Brandon Coleman (shoulder), OT Cornelius Lucas (ankle), and OT Andrew Wylie (shoulder) are all questionable.

The Eagles have a relatively clean injury report, with DeVonta Smith (hamstring) getting in a limited practice session on Wednesday. He’s expected to play in this one.

Weather

It’s going to be a chilly matchup on primetime from Philadelphia, with temperatures expected to be around 8 C with light winds.

  • The Commanders are 2-0 ATS in divisional matchups this season.
  • The Over is 5-0 when the Commanders are on the road in 2024.
  • The Eagles have won five of the last six head-to-head matchups against the Commanders.
  • Since 2022, the Eagles are 8-3 ATS as home favourites.
  • In the nine games he’s played with more than two passing attempts, Jayden Daniels has thrown for Over 220 passing yards six times. He is priced at -120 to surpass this line against the Eagles.
  • With his line set at 61.5 receiving yards, Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin has surpassed this total in three of his last four games played.
  • Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games. He is currently priced at -133 to hit paydirt against the Commanders.
  • The Commanders allow the third-most rushing yards against per game in the NFL this season at 142.1. With his rushing yard line set at 93, look for Eagles running back Saquon Barkley to eclipse this total for the seventh time this season at -120.

Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions

  • In what is sure to be a closely contested affair, the smart money resides on the Eagles to cover as favourites against the Commanders. While the Commanders have been one of the best stories in the NFL this season, they simply aren’t as well-polished as the veteran Eagles. Look for the Eagles to abuse the Commanders’ subpar run defence all night long as they control the clock, gaining a lead early and limiting scoring chances on the other side of the football against a rookie quarterback.
  • Neither team are strangers to high-scoring matchups this season, so be sure to hammer the Over on Thursday Night Football. With the Commanders having finished six of their games with a final score of Over 48.5, look for the Eagles to match their offensive intensity as both sides exchange end zone shots in a primetime demolition derby for control of the NFC East.