The contrast between U.S. election betting odds and Canadian public opinion offers a compelling insight into the current political landscape. Election betting markets are currently indicating Donald Trump as the frontrunner in presidential odds for the upcoming U.S. election. However, according to recent polling data, if Canadians were eligible to vote, they would overwhelmingly support Vice President Kamala Harris over Trump.
This stark difference highlights how U.S. election odds can diverge significantly from the preferences of international observers, particularly in Canada, where the support for Harris strongly contrasts with the election betting odds favoring Trump.
Odds Favor Trump, While Canadians Prefer Kamala Harris
A recent Leger survey highlights the diverging preferences between Canadians and the current betting odds for the US election. While 64% of Canadians would vote for Vice-President Kamala Harris if given the chance, only 21% would support former President Donald Trump, with 15% undecided. This contrasts with the 2024 election odds, where Trump appears as a significant contender. Canadian Conservative voters are nearly evenly divided, with 45% favoring Trump and 42% backing Harris, indicating Harris’s strong appeal among certain demographics like those over 55, Quebec residents, and women.
The 2024 presidential election odds also reflect heightened interest from Canadian observers, driven by the close economic and geopolitical ties between Canada and the U.S. Concerns about Trump’s proposed 10% tariff, which could potentially shrink Canada’s economy by up to 1%, underscore the economic stakes. Harris, expected to maintain many of Biden’s protectionist policies, including “Buy American” rules, diverges on trade agreements, criticizing the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement for failing to protect workers and the environment.
Despite the presidential election odds favoring Trump as the clear favorite, Canadian polls indicate that Harris would be a formidable candidate. According to these polls, 62% of Canadians believe Harris would more effectively handle critical issues such as climate change, trade, immigration, the U.S. economy, national security, and international conflicts. However, even with her strong favorability, there remains significant concern among Canadians—65% are apprehensive about potential post-election violence and uncertainty. This anxiety is exacerbated by Trump’s hesitancy to commit to accepting the election results, which also influences the U.S. presidential election odds market.
Harris’s Canadian upbringing offers her a unique perspective that may influence who is favorite to be the next US president. Her time in Montreal might resonate well with voters looking for a president with a broad, global view, enhancing her appeal amid the global fascination with the U.S. elections reflected in the active betting on her candidacy.
Trump Odds in Canada Approaching One to Two
Some of the best Canadian sportsbooks currently favor Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with odds nearing -200 suggesting a 66% chance of winning. Recently, Trump’s odds have risen, showing a narrow lead in electoral college projections (270 to 268) and capturing nearly 95% of recent bets over the past few weeks, according to some sources.
Trump’s growing support is linked to his supposed ‘isolationist stance’ on conflicts in both the Middle East and Ukraine, along with a surge of momentum in key battleground states. Despite national polls showing a tight race with Kamala Harris slightly leading in some key regions, election forecasts give Trump a slim 53% chance of victory. This volatile race remains closely watched as Election Day approaches, with significant shifts still possible.
Donald Trump to Win 2024 U.S. Election
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How to Bet on U.S. Election in Canada
Interestingly, while 42% of Canadians prefer to follow the U.S. election results after the fact rather than watching the live events, and 15% have no interest in the election, there’s a notable rise in enthusiasm for another aspect—betting. For those interested in how to bet on the US election in Canada, reputable sportsbooks like Sports Interaction, bet365, Bet99 and BetVictor offer extensive betting options.
After selecting a sportsbook, users need to create an account, verify their identity, and deposit funds. They can then access various betting markets, including predictions on the overall winner, specific states, party nominations, and vice presidential picks, engaging directly with US election betting in Canada.
Keep it locked to CanadaSportsBetting for all of your U.S. election betting updates from a Canadian perspective.
