It all comes down to this. After a month of incredible soccer action, two teams remain, looking to be named the Kings of Europe. Their two historical paths couldn’t be more different – Spain is looking to put the cherry on top of an incredible resume of success at major tournaments, while England is looking to snap decades of curse and heartbreak at the men’s level. Let’s look at both teams’ journeys and what they need to achieve glory.
3:00 p.m. ET Headliner: Spain vs. England
| Spain Win | +152 | England Win | +255 | Draw | +187 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | +152 | Under 2.5 Goals | -189 | Broadcast | TSN |
Had this game come at the start of the tournament, there’s a good chance that the odds going in would be reversed. England started this tournament at the very top of the charts as favourites to win, and in a sense, that hunch has clearly worked out, as they find themselves one step away.
However, they haven’t made it easy on themselves. A narrow win against Serbia and draws against Denmark and Slovenia didn’t encourage many outsiders in the group stage, and in the Round of 16 against Slovakia, the team was legitimately seconds from elimination, relying on Jude Bellingham scoring a magic equalizer in injury time to buy them enough time to score a second and advance themselves. Their quarter-final game was another nail-biter, requiring penalties to eliminate Switzerland.
While the semi-finals also required a last-second moment, it was probably the Three Lions’ best effort all around. After falling behind to the Netherlands in the seventh minute, Harry Kane converted a penalty eleven minutes later and with that, England took control of the bulk of the game. Just when it looked like it was going to be yet another extra time, Ollie Watkins played hero, scoring the goal that brought them here.
Spain’s path, well, it’s been a lot easier for them. Or at least, they’ve made it look easy as they look to run the table and potentially sweep the tournament with a perfect 7-0 record, a first in tournament history. Their group stage was utterly perfect, as doubts about the team’s shift away from leaning all the way into passing and possession were quickly hushed with three wins where Spain didn’t so much as concede a goal against Croatia, Italy, or Albania.
In the knockout stage, Spain convincingly spoiled the Cinderella story that was brewing in Georgia, defeated Germany in the last minute of extra time, and on Tuesday, punched their ticket to the final after an initial shock from France. Conceding just nine minutes in, a pair of goals in four minutes thrust them back ahead, and they had no issue holding onto the ball and carrying the result home from there.
Spain has found success by using more straight-line, direct speed than they have in previous years, allowing them some versatility when their tiki-taka roots are holding them back. Given that England has struggled to maintain their own possession game to their liking in this tournament, it’ll likely be a classic Spanish affair in this one. But having that room to pivot is more than welcome.
Game Bets To Consider
- Much of the attention is being on the young stars for each country – 21-year-old Jude Bellingham for England, and Lamine Yamal for Spain, who turns… 17 years old today. Yes, one of the best players in this whole tournament has been doing his thing at sixteen. Either way, if you want to support them both, Betano has enhanced odds on either of them scoring in the first half. Normally +350, you can get this package at +385.
- Another player to look at individually is Harry Kane, particularly if you think that this is England’s big moment. While Bellingham is the future and arguably the present of the program, Kane has been a longtime soldier and it would be fitting if he put their journey over the top. You can get him over 0.5 shots on target at -200, and to score a goal at +200.
Bet on Spain vs. England
(Full Game, Including Extras/Pens)
ESP -143
ENG +115
EURO 2024 Final Player Futures Odds
Here are the final markets for the top players in the tournament. Yamal winning the Young Player of the Tournament is by far the biggest lock, with wiggle room for the overall MVP based on how the game goes. England’s best option for player of the Tournament is Jude Bellingham at +900. For those looking at the Top Goalscorer prize, there may be some value in combining your pick with the tournament winner, given the value of any separating goal. Olmo boosts to +115 when combined with Spain winning, for example, while Kane doubles up from +150 to +300.
| Top Goalscorer |  | Tournament MVP | | Young MVP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Olmo (ESP) | 3 (-200) | Lamine Yamal (ESP) | +150 | Lamine Yamal (ESP) | -1250 |
| Harry Kane (ENG) | 3 (+150) | Rodri (ESP) | +275 | Jude Bellingham (ENG) | +1000 |
| Fabian Ruiz (ENG) | 2 (+1900) | Dani Olmo (ESP) | +650 | Nico Williams (ESP) | +1200 |
| Jude Bellingham (ENG) | 2 (+2400) | Fabian Ruiz (ESP) | +800 | Kobbie Mainoo (ENG) | +1900 |
